As I move toward making my model predictive, I’ve been tinkering with some of its elements to optimize for retrodictive power. A fun part of this is observing the biggest upsets of the year per my rankings. Here are the top 50 as of January 16. The avid fan may be familiar with a number of these.[table “19” not found /]
SFA is not as bad as most people make them out to be–they’ve actually shot up in the rankings a good deal over the course of the season. Their upset over Duke, however, is still that bad, but mostly because of how good Duke is. Evansville’s upset over Kentucky is waaay more embarrassing.